Why Lawler’s Model Is the Missing Link Between AI Investment and Business Impact
AI does not create value because it is intelligent. AI creates value when people and organizations are motivated to use it—consistently, confidently, and at scale.
Over the past few years, enterprises have invested heavily in AI—Advanced Analytics, AI Copilots, and now Agentic AI. Yet a familiar pattern keeps emerging:
- Pilots succeed, scale struggles
- Models perform, adoption stalls
- Insights are generated, but business impact remains elusive
In multiple enterprise AI programs, I’ve worked on, this gap was never about technology. It was a motivation problem.
In my earlier research and practitioner work on human‑centered analytics and AI‑driven decision systems, I’ve repeatedly come back to one foundational question:
Why do some AI initiatives become embedded into how organizations work—while others quietly fade away?
The answer sits at the intersection of human behavior, organizational design, and measurement. And one of the most powerful lenses to understand this is Lawler’s Motivation Model.
From AI Capability to AI Value
Most enterprises measure AI success through proxies:
- Model accuracy, assuming that better predictive or generative performance will automatically translate into better decisions and outcomes.
- The number of dashboards or copilots deployed, treating scale of deployment as a substitute for real adoption and value creation.
- The volume of insights generated, equating more alerts, summaries, or recommendations with greater impact.
- Automation coverage, focusing on how much work is automated rather than whether automation meaningfully improves performance or results.
These metrics tell us whether AI exists. They do not tell us whether AI matters.
True AI value shows up only when:
- Teams change decisions, using AI insights and recommendations to challenge intuition and make different, better-informed choices.
- Workflows change behavior, embedding AI into everyday processes so work is executed differently—not just analyzed differently.
- Outcomes change performance, with measurable improvements in business results that can be directly linked back to AI-supported decisions and actions.
Without changes in decisions, behavior, and outcomes, AI remains informative—but not transformative. To measure this shift, we need to move beyond technology KPIs and start measuring organizational motivation.
Lawler’s Motivation Model: A Brief Refresher
Lawler’s model explains motivation through three tightly linked questions:
- Expectancy – Will AI help me and my team perform better?
- Instrumentality – If I perform better, will it lead to real outcomes?
- Valence – Are the outcomes valuable enough to sustain and scale AI across the enterprise
When applied to enterprise AI, these questions become even more powerful—because AI adoption is rarely an individual choice. It is a systemic, organizational behavior.
1) Expectancy: Will AI Improve How Our Teams Perform?
Expectancy is about belief. Do teams believe that AI—whether an Advanced analytics, AI Copilot solutions, or Agentic workflow—will genuinely make their work easier, faster, or better? In enterprise AI programs, expectancy breaks down when:
- AI outputs are slow, opaque, or inconsistent
- Insights arrive too late to influence decisions
- Trust in data and explanations is low
How Expectancy Shows Up in Measurement
High-performing organizations measure expectancy through signals such as:
- % of Users actively using AI tools / agents
- Usage frequency in core business processes / decisions
- Cycle-time reduction (analysis, planning, execution)
- Reduction in Manual Handoffs
- Explainability Scores (from AI Observability Tool) Trust Score (User Feedback)
If expectancy is weak, AI remains interesting—but never essential.
2) Instrumentality: Will Better Performance Lead to Measurable Business Outcomes?
Instrumentality is about connection. Do AI‑supported insights and actions actually translate into business results? This is where many AI initiatives quietly fail. Insights are reviewed, copilots are consulted, but decisions revert to intuition. Agentic workflows are designed—but overridden.
Measuring Instrumentality in AI Systems
Organizations that get this right track:
- Clear linkage between AI‑supported actions and business KPIs – Business KPIs Impact
- The percentage of decisions or workflows that are AI‑assisted or AI‑executed
- Recommendation and agent acceptance rates
- Automation completion success versus exception frequency
- Exception handling frequency
Instrumentality is strongest when AI closes the loop—from insight → decision → execution → outcome. Without this linkage, AI informs—but does not transform.
3) Valence: Are the outcomes valuable enough to sustain and scale AI across the enterprise??
Valence is about value. Even if AI improves performance and influences outcomes, organizations will not scale it unless the value is clear, relevant, and repeatable. In large enterprises, valence is shaped by:
- Strategic relevance of AI use cases
- Capability maturity of teams
- Economic efficiency and scalability
Valence Metrics That Matter
Leading organizations measure valence through:
- Percentage of priority enterprise use cases enabled by AI
- Year‑over‑year AI maturity improvement
- Workforce capacity redeployed to higher‑value work
- Reduction in tool and vendor sprawl
- Cost‑to‑serve reduction through automation
- Time to onboard new teams, markets, or use cases
When valence is high, AI shifts from initiative to capability.
Why This Model Works for AI Copilots and Agentic AI
Advanced Analytics, AI Copilots etc. focuses on decision quality and speed. Agentic AI focuses on execution and automation. Both succeed—or fail—based on the same motivational foundations.
Lawler’s model provides a unifying framework that allows organizations to:
- Design AI systems around real decision and execution workflows
- Measure success beyond adoption metrics
- Create a repeatable path from AI investment to business impact
A New Definition of AI Success
Through this lens, AI success is no longer about intelligence alone.
AI succeeds when organizations are motivated to adopt, trust, and act on AI insights and agentic outputs—consistently and at scale—because doing so delivers measurable business value.
This reframing changes how leaders:
- Fund AI initiatives by shifting investment decisions from isolated pilots and model experiments to initiatives that are explicitly tied to decision impact, execution outcomes, and measurable business value.
- Govern AI platforms by moving beyond technical oversight toward governance models that ensure trust, explainability, accountability, and alignment between AI outputs and business decisions.
- Measure progress by replacing activity-based metrics—such as usage, accuracy, or feature adoption—with outcome-based measures that track how AI influences decisions, actions, and enterprise performance.
- Design teams and skills by evolving analytics and AI teams from report builders and model developers into product-oriented, decision-focused groups capable of designing and operating AI-powered decision and execution systems.
In short, this reframing turns AI from activity and experimentation into a repeatable engine for decision and business impact.
To Conclude
I have seen AI systems with sophisticated models and strong technical foundations quietly fade away—while far simpler systems scaled across organizations. The difference was never intelligence. It was alignment with how people actually decide, act, and are measured. Enterprise AI will not fail because models are weak. It will fail when organizations do not design for motivation, behavior, and outcomes.
Lawler’s Motivation Model gives leaders a language—and a measurement system—to close that gap.
The future of AI belongs to organizations that treat AI not as a tool… but as a human-centered, outcome-driven decision and execution system.

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